Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 3.290092 3.636656 4.012159 4.450553 4.949957 5.503048 6.164564
2025-08-17 2.710077 3.157085 3.674326 4.321706 5.116756 6.069692 7.311025
2025-08-24 2.369580 2.865830 3.467947 4.261317 5.292721 6.607260 8.440778
2025-08-31 2.139528 2.665561 3.328476 4.239274 5.480572 7.147093 9.613625
2025-09-07 2.015952 2.578825 3.312697 4.360132 5.851408 7.954194 11.249605
2025-09-14 1.866164 2.439087 3.207157 4.338626 6.009953 8.467738 12.516938
2025-09-21 1.733777 2.308905 3.098981 4.295958 6.123448 8.915710 13.734270
2025-09-28 1.576403 2.130452 2.906379 4.108484 5.993320 8.964526 14.292779
2025-10-05 1.502347 2.063733 2.866969 4.142990 6.205046 9.574205 15.892956
2025-10-12 1.447535 2.019960 2.856189 4.217633 6.484429 10.323508 17.859935
2025-10-19 1.396895 1.978087 2.843808 4.286341 6.757632 11.090926 19.988205
2025-10-26 1.348020 1.935054 2.825500 4.341970 7.011290 11.850792 22.233452
2025-11-02 1.293278 1.880919 2.788032 4.366013 7.218481 12.564483 24.553655
2025-11-09 1.210939 1.778821 2.667253 4.238213 7.137295 12.714072 25.670490
2025-11-16 1.149836 1.706644 2.589990 4.178951 7.175955 13.103476 27.410657
2025-11-23 1.101156 1.651464 2.536853 4.157384 7.282843 13.644139 29.624224
2025-11-30 1.081867 1.642724 2.560352 4.275335 7.673648 14.837843 33.754622
2025-12-07 1.039478 1.593310 2.511149 4.254345 7.781922 15.426943 36.433037
2025-12-14 0.996714 1.540962 2.453574 4.212701 7.842552 15.915283 38.950770
2025-12-21 0.934041 1.451979 2.326995 4.029700 7.587434 15.633478 39.168588
2025-12-28 0.909577 1.427067 2.312471 4.063386 7.801197 16.502567 43.080443
2026-01-04 0.892419 1.413780 2.317780 4.136250 8.108209 17.647727 48.202382
2026-01-11 0.875252 1.399519 2.320284 4.203315 8.409174 18.826000 53.817780